Seed entropy analysis

Hardware wallet seed security

Entropy, possibilities & time to crack

Your seed phrase is only as strong as the randomness behind it. Below: effective entropy per device, how many possible seeds that produces, and how long a brute-force attempt would take at one billion guesses per second.

Device / modelEffective entropyPossibilitiesTime to crack @ 1 billion guesses/secWhere to buy
Coldcard Mk3
(Affected)
~40 bits1.1 trillion (1.1 × 10¹²)~9–18 minutesColdcard store
Coldcard Mk4 / Mk5 / Q
(Affected)
~72 bits4.7 sextillion (4.7 × 10²¹)~75–150 yearsColdcard store
Trezor 12-word / SLIP-39
128 bits3.4 × 10³⁸~10²² yearsBuy Trezor Safe 5
Trezor 24-word
256 bits1.16 × 10⁷⁷Many times longer than the age of the universeBuy Trezor Safe 7
Ledger (all models)
256 bits1.16 × 10⁷⁷Many times longer than the age of the universeBuy on Ledger

"Affected" refers to Coldcard devices whose BIP-39 seed was generated on firmware shipped between March 2021 and July 2026, where seed generation fell back to a software PRNG instead of the hardware TRNG. Coinkite published a security advisory on July 30, 2026 after ~594 BTC was swept from dormant Mk3 wallets — see our security incidents archive.

How much harder to crack?

From 40 72 bits

~4.3 billion times harder

From 72 128 bits

~72 million times harder

From 128 256 bits

~3.4 × 10³⁸ times harder

Add a passphrase and the search space becomes absurd

A strong passphrase on top of a 256-bit seed multiplies the search space again. Even a mediocre 40–60 bit passphrase turns 256 bits into something completely out of reach for any conceivable attacker.

Key takeaway

40–72 bits can be brute-forced in minutes to years. 128 bits is already beyond practical. 256 bits is effectively unbreakable. If you generated a seed on an affected Coldcard firmware, migrate to a freshly generated 24-word seed and move your funds.

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